Predicting Geopolitics
Probability forecasts and analysis for geopolitical events
About IntelGeoPol
Predictive Analysis
We merge our expert knowledge with AI to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Our Methodology
We use a combination of historical data, expert knowledge, and machine learning to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Track Record
We have a proven track record of predicting major political shifts, economic developments, and regional conflicts.
Key Research Areas
Latin America
Analyzing political trends, economic development, and social movements in the region.
- Regional integration and trade agreements
- Democratic consolidation and challenges
- Environmental policies and sustainable development
Latest Blog Posts
Trump's Global Tariff Offensive: Implications for World Economic Growth
April 2nd, 2025
What's Behind Trump's New Global Tariff Strategy? In a sweeping economic policy move, former President Donald Trump has announced substantial tariffs on numerous global trading partners, claiming that "Many times the friend is worse than the enemy." The tariff structure imposes varying rates: 20% o...
Asian Economic Powerhouses Unite on Trade Strategy Amid Global Tensions
April 1st, 2025
What Does This Trilateral Trade Alliance Mean for Global Commerce? In a landmark development that could reshape global trade patterns, China, Japan, and South Korea have announced a strategic alignment that analysts are calling one of the most significant commercial movements of the century. The th...
China Launches Large-Scale Military Exercises Near Taiwan
April 1st, 2025
What Are the Objectives of China's Military Exercises? The Command of the Theater of Oriental Operations of the Popular Liberation Army (EPL) of China commenced large-scale military exercises in the surroundings of the island of Taiwan on Tuesday. According to Colonel Shi Yi, spokesman for the comm...
Our Experts
Lukas Tassanyi
Director
Expertise in Latin America, South East Asia and Russia
Umut Akarsu
Geopolitical Analyst
Research and Analysis
Our Global Impact
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Successful predictions in 2023
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Active probability forecasts
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Countries monitored
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Prediction accuracy rate
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