Predicting Geopolitics
Probability forecasts and analysis for geopolitical events
About IntelGeoPol
Predictive Analysis
We merge our expert knowledge with AI to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Our Methodology
We use a combination of historical data, expert knowledge, and machine learning to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Track Record
We have a proven track record of predicting major political shifts, economic developments, and regional conflicts.
Key Research Areas
Latin America
Analyzing political trends, economic development, and social movements in the region.
- Regional integration and trade agreements
- Democratic consolidation and challenges
- Environmental policies and sustainable development
Latest Blog Posts
Chile and Great Britain: A Strategic Naval Partnership
April 26th, 2025
What Led to the Recent Agreement Between Chile and Great Britain? The recent agreement between the Chilean Navy and Great Britain to develop the naval industry marks a significant step in their longstanding relationship. Historically, Chile faced accusations of providing logistical support to the U...
United States Proposes Final Offer to End Ukraine War
April 25th, 2025
What Are the Key Proposals in the U.S. Offer? The United States has put forward a comprehensive proposal aimed at mediating peace between Russia and Ukraine. Central to this offer is the potential for Ukraine to join the European Union while remaining outside of NATO. This nuanced stance seeks to b...
The Complex Dynamics of Peace Negotiations: Zelenski's Stance on Crimea
April 24th, 2025
What is the Current Status of Crimea? Crimea, a region with a tumultuous history, has been under Russian control since 2014 following a controversial referendum. The annexation was widely condemned by the international community, with many countries, including Ukraine, considering it illegal. Despi...
Our Experts
Lukas Tassanyi
Director
Expertise in Latin America, South East Asia and Russia
Umut Akarsu
Geopolitical Analyst
Research and Analysis
Our Global Impact
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Successful predictions in 2023
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Active probability forecasts
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Countries monitored
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Prediction accuracy rate
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