Predicting Geopolitics

Probability forecasts and analysis for geopolitical events

About IntelGeoPol

Predictive Analysis

We merge our expert knowledge with AI to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.

Our Methodology

We use a combination of historical data, expert knowledge, and machine learning to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.

Track Record

We have a proven track record of predicting major political shifts, economic developments, and regional conflicts.

Key Research Areas

Latin America

Analyzing political trends, economic development, and social movements in the region.

  • Regional integration and trade agreements
  • Democratic consolidation and challenges
  • Environmental policies and sustainable development

Featured Publications

Will Trump Withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?

Will Trump Withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?

February 23rd, 2025

Will Trump Cut Aid to Jordan or Egypt?

Will Trump Cut Aid to Jordan or Egypt?

February 23rd, 2025

Will Egypt and Israel Sever Ties Before July?

Will Egypt and Israel Sever Ties Before July?

February 24th, 2025

Latest Blog Posts

Potential Diplomatic Breakthrough: Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy Meeting on the Horizon

Potential Diplomatic Breakthrough: Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy Meeting on the Horizon

August 19th, 2025

What Prompted the Meeting Initiative? The announcement of a potential meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin, U.S. President Donald Trump, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy marks a significant development in the ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Russia and Ukraine. The ini...

Diplomatic Developments: Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy Prepare for Crucial Meeting

Diplomatic Developments: Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy Prepare for Crucial Meeting

August 19th, 2025

What Prompted the Meeting Proposal? The recent announcement that Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed readiness to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has drawn significant international attention. This development comes amidst ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine, wh...

Ukraine's Demands Post-Meeting with Trump and European Leaders

Ukraine's Demands Post-Meeting with Trump and European Leaders

August 19th, 2025

What Are Ukraine's Stipulations for Peace? In the aftermath of the high-stakes meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenski, and European leaders, Ukraine has articulated firm demands for any potential peace agreement. Kyiv has unequivocally rejected an...

Our Experts

LT

Lukas Tassanyi

Director

Expertise in Latin America, South East Asia and Russia

Our Global Impact

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Successful predictions in 2023

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Active probability forecasts

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Countries monitored

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Prediction accuracy rate

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